Let’s show
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Every rational cycle with k= \lceil x \log_2 3 \rceil + b, where b\geq 1, has some member less than \cfrac{x}{(b+1)\ln 2}.
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Any rational cycle with k= \lceil x \log_2 3 \rceil + 1 must have at least 3.2 \cdot 10^{21} odd members.
k = length of cycle
x = total number of odd terms in cycle
For every (k,x)-cycle v, its smallest member f(v) is less than f(v_h), the smallest member of the (k,x)-high-cycle.
f(v) \leq f(v_h) = \cfrac{\beta(v_h)}{2^k-3^x}
The parity vector for the smallest member of the high cycle has ones distributed evenly throughout the zeroes, giving
f(v_h) = \cfrac{\sum_{i=0}^{x-1} 3^{x-i-1} 2^{\lfloor \frac{k}{x}\,i \rfloor}}{2^k-3^x}
Now consider the case where k= \lceil x \log_2 3 \rceil + b, where b\geq 1. As b goes up, the denominator increases faster than the numerator. Plugging in for k, we get
f(v_h) = \cfrac{\sum_{i=0}^{x-1} 3^{x-i-1} 2^{\lfloor \frac{k}{x}\,i \rfloor}}{2^k-3^x}
= \cfrac{\sum_{i=0}^{x-1} 3^{x-i-1} 2^{\lfloor \frac{k}{x}\,i \rfloor}}{2^{\lceil x \log_2 3 \rceil + b} - 3^x}
\leq \cfrac{\sum_{i=0}^{x-1} 3^{x-i-1} 2^{\lfloor \frac{k}{x}\,i \rfloor}}{2^{x \log_2 3 + b} - 3^x}
= \cfrac{\sum_{i=0}^{x-1} 3^{x-i-1} 2^{\lfloor \frac{k}{x}\,i \rfloor}}{3^x\,2^b - 3^x}
= \cfrac{\sum_{i=0}^{x-1} 3^{x-i-1} 2^{\lfloor \frac{k}{x}\,i \rfloor}}{3^x(2^b-1)}
Note that if b=0, the algebra doesn’t work, producing division by zero.
Turning to the numerator,
f(v_h) = \cfrac{\sum_{i=0}^{x-1} 3^{x-i-1} 2^{\lfloor \frac{\lceil x \log_2 3 \rceil + b}{x}\,i \rfloor}}{3^x(2^b-1)}
< \cfrac{\sum_{i=0}^{x-1} 3^{x-i-1} 2^{\frac{x \log_2 3 + b + 1}{x}\,i}}{3^x(2^b-1)}
= \cfrac{\sum_{i=0}^{x-1} 3^{x-i-1} 2^{i\,\log_2 3} 2^{\frac{i(b + 1)}{x}}}{3^x(2^b-1)}
= \cfrac{3^{x-1} \sum_{i=0}^{x-1} [2^{\frac{b + 1}{x}}]^i}{3^x(2^b-1)}
= \cfrac{3^{x-1} \frac{2^{b + 1}-1}{2^{\frac{b+1}{x}}-1}}{3^x(2^b-1)}
The next step uses the identity 2^t-1 > t \ln 2 for t>0, with t=\frac{b+1}{x}.
f(v_h) < \cfrac{3^{x-1} (2^{b + 1}-1) \frac{x}{(b+1) \ln\,2}}{3^x(2^b-1)}
= \cfrac{1}{3} \cdot \cfrac{2^{b + 1}-1}{2^b-1} \cdot \cfrac{x}{(b+1) \ln 2}
Next, note that \cfrac{2^{b + 1}-1}{2^b-1} = 3 for b=1, and converges to 2 as b increases, meaning
f(v_h) < \cfrac{x}{(b+1) \ln 2},
which is what we set out to show.
For example, for b=1, we have f(v) \leq f(v_h) < 0.72\,x, meaning every (k,x)-cycle has some member less than 0.72\,x.
Numerical confirmation:
For k=65,x=41,
f(v_h)=\cfrac{364625035073295549935}{420491770248316829} \approx 867.1.
For k=66,x=41,
f(v_h)=\cfrac{519869004464865760111}{37313979917667420061} \approx 13.9 < 0.72 \cdot 41.
When we add the fact that many numbers have been computer-checked and don’t participate in non-trivial cycles, we get:
2.35 \cdot 10^{21} < f(v) < \cfrac{x}{(b+1) \ln\,2}.
Setting b=1 and solving for x, we find that any cycle with k= \lceil x \log_2 3 \rceil + 1 must have at least x > 3.2 \cdot 10^{21} odd members.